It’s not exactly true, as reported elsewhere in the blogosphere, that Andrew Platt “cruised to victory” in the six-way race for three District 17 delegate seats.
At this moment, Platt retains a five-vote lead in second place over Jim Gilchrist, who is in third place, and a 100-vote margin over Susan Hoffman, out of more than 5,000 votes cast in the Democratic primary. (Monday, June 30, 2014 @ 3 p.m.)
Hoffman remains out of the money in fourth place, but she has gained slightly on both Platt and Gilchrist in the count of absentee and provisional ballots. Here are the unofficial totals as reported by the Maryland Election Board today:
- Del. Kumar Barve, 5,625, 25.4 percent
- Andrew Platt, 4,497, 20.3 percent
- Del. Jim Gilchrist, 4,492, 20.3 percent
- Susan Hoffman, 4,392 19.9 percent
In the District 17 Democratic primary for State Senate, Cheryl Kagan remains safely ahead, with 4,583 votes (54.5 percent) at this time, over Luis Simmons, who has 3,831 votes (45.5 percent). Simmons is not gaining in the absentee count. The outcome of the District 17 State Senate race is not in doubt.
Platt, Gilchrist and Hoffman have been locked in a near statistical dead heat at about 20 percent since early on the evening of election day. The number of votes separating the three has narrowed as the days pass.
It’s not clear how many provisional and absentee ballots remain to be counted. Final totals are not expected to be announced before July 10.
Hoffman, former Rockville mayor, has been gaining ground in the absentees, but very slowly. It’s still conceivable that Hoffman could emerge as one of the three winners. But most observers would say it’s improbable at this point.
Based on the percentage distribution of absentee votes, it does appear likely that Gilchrist will overtake Platt for second place by a few votes, and that Platt will finish with a delegate seat in third place, with a margin of fewer than 100 votes over Hoffman. Please check my arithmetic.
Here’s the distribution of absentee ballots counted so far:
- Barve, 258
- Hoffman, 232
- Gilchrist, 224
- Platt, 207
Sports fans, we have a cliffhanger right here in District 17, demonstrating once again that every single vote is important.
If you’d like to follow this sudden-death overtime at home, the Maryland Election Board is posting updates every 20 minutes.
Comments are welcome below.
— John Hayden